UKPIs: Non-continuation rates (including projected outcomes) (tables T3, T4, T5)

 
UK Performance Indicators Index
UK Performance Indicators in higher education
Introduction
Governance of UK Performance Indicators
Guide to UKPIs
Summary tables and charts
Notes to tables
Definitions of terms
Changes to the UKPIs
Benchmarks
Widening participation of under-represented groups (tables T1, T2)
Widening participation of students who are in receipt of DSA (table T7)
Non-continuation rates (including projected outcomes) (tables T3, T4, T5)
Module completion rates (table T6)
Research output (table R1)
Employment of leavers (table E1)

These tables look at non-continuation rates for UK domiciled students at an institution. They are presented in two ways. The first considers students who start in a particular year, and looks at whether they are still in higher education one year later (for full-time students) or two years later (for part-time students). The second method looks at projected outcomes over a longer period.

The non-continuation rates for students at an institution are of widespread interest, but need to be carefully defined and interpreted. The two methods are explained in more detail below.

In 2011/12, the method used to produce the low participation indicator changed from using POLAR2 to the more up to date POLAR3 method. Prior to 2006/07 the low participation indicator used the Super Profiles method. The three low participation methods are not comparable, but the POLAR3 method has been run back to 2009/10 and the POLAR2 method has been run for forward to allow some comparisons. For more details on the methods, please refer to the definitions page.

The main tables T3, T4 and T5 provide a breakdown by Higher Education institution. The supplementary tables (SN1 - SN7) provide some background information and context figures for the sector used in the derivation of the benchmarks. All downloadable data files are provided in Microsoft® Excel® spreadsheet format.

Note: The year references given in the links below indicate the academic year from which the data is based while the naming convention for the downloadable files relate to the publication edition.

Non-continuation following year of entry (table series T3)

This method is based on tracking students from the year they enter an institution to the following year (for full-time students, T3a-T3d) or the following two years (for part-time students, T3e) and provides information about where the students are in that year: continuing at the same institution (either on the same course or elsewhere in the institution), transfer to another institution, or absent from higher education completely.

Full details of the methods used can be found in the technical document.

T3a: Non-continuation following year of entry: full-time first degree entrants by age marker and continuation status
2011/12  |  2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  | 
2005/06  |  2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  |  2001/02  | 

T3b: Non-continuation following year of entry: young full-time first degree entrants by low participation marker and continuation status
POLAR3 low participation data
2011/12  |  2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  | 
POLAR2 low participation data
2011/12  |  2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  |  2005/06  | 
Super Profiles low participation data
2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  |  2001/02  | 

T3c: Non-continuation following year of entry: mature full-time first degree entrants by previous HE marker and continuation status
2011/12  |  2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  | 
2005/06  |  2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  |  2001/02  | 

T3d: Non-continuation following year of entry: full-time other undergraduate entrants by age marker and continuation status
2011/12  |  2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  | 
2005/06  |  2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  |  2001/02  | 

T3e: Non-continuation two years following year of entry: part-time first degree entrants by age marker and continuation status
2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  | 

Supplementary tables - sector level

SN1: Percentage of young entrants to full-time first degree courses who are no longer in HE the following year by entry qualification and subject of study
2011/12  |  2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  | 
2005/06  |  2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  |  2001/02  | 

SN2: Percentage of mature entrants to full-time first degree courses who are no longer in HE the following year by entry qualification and subject of study
2011/12  |  2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  | 
2005/06  |  2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  |  2001/02  | 

SN3: Percentage of all entrants to full-time other undergraduate courses who are no longer in HE the following year by entry qualification and subject of study
2011/12  |  2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  | 
2005/06  |  2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  | 

Definitions - General definitions of the terms used in the non-continuation performance indicator tables.
Benchmarks - Technical information on how the benchmarks are calculated.
Technical - Technical details of non-continuation method.
Notes - Numbered notes referenced in the tables.

Resumption of study after a year out of HE (table series T4)

Some students who leave higher education during or at the end of the first year will return after a year out. Table series T4 includes statistics about such returns for full-time students. These are not provided as indicators, but to give some extra information which may be used with the indicators in table series T3 to give a fuller picture. Table series T4 gives the percentage of students who were absent from HE the year after they entered who returned to higher education, either at the same institution or at another institution, the following year. The final column expresses the percentage of entrants who did not return to HE two years after they entered.

T4a: Resumption of study after a year out of HE: full-time first degree entrants by age marker and continuation status
2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  |  2005/06  | 
2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  |  2001/02  |  2000/01  | 

T4b: Resumption of study after a year out of HE: full-time other undergraduate entrants by age marker and continuation status
2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  |  2005/06  | 
2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  |  2001/02  | 

Definitions - General definitions of the terms used in the non-continuation performance indicator tables.
Technical - Technical details of non-continuation method.
Notes - Numbered notes referenced in the tables.

Projected outcomes (table T5)

The other method for producing non-completion rates projects what proportion of the full-time first degree starters are likely to be in each of the 'end states' after a period of fifteen years (that is, having gained a qualification, transferred to another institution, or been absent from HE for two consecutive years). The fifteen year period has been chosen as an over-estimate of the amount of time that the majority of full-time first degree students should have reached one of these end states.

The projection is based on the current pattern of students at the institution. Firstly, we define a 'transition population' which consists of students who were active on a full-time first degree course in a particular academic year plus students who were active on a full-time first degree course in the previous year, excluding those who have obtained a degree. For each student in the transition population, we look at their 'state' (mode of study, level of study, institution, year of programme and if applicable, qualification obtained) in the academic year in question and in the following academic year. Assuming that this pattern of students is typical for the institution, this is used to anticipate the state of the full-time first degree starters up to fifteen years on. The list of possible 'states' a student can be in are listed in the technical document. Due to the nature of this method, a very small number of students may not have reached one of the 'end states' after fifteen years and are shown in a 'not known' column of the table. High numbers in the not known column are often a result of institutions which have made major changes, either to the format of their degree programmes or to the way they record that format.

In technical terms, projecting students is equivalent to multiplying a scalar matrix of starters by a matrix of students in the transition population a total of fourteen times to represent a period of fifteen years. Full details of the method used can be found in the technical document.

T5: Projected learning outcomes: full-time students starting first degree courses by projected continuation status
2011/12  |  2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  | 
2005/06  |  2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  |  2001/02  | 

Supplementary tables - sector level

SN4: All institutions transition matrix for the sector
2011/12  |  2010/11  |  2009/10  |  2008/09  |  2007/08  |  2006/07  | 
2005/06  |  2004/05  |  2003/04  |  2002/03  |  2001/02  | 

SN5: Percentage of starters on full-time first degree courses by start year of programme and academic year
2002/03 - 2011/12

SN6: Sector projected learning outcomes: full-time students starting first degree courses by academic year
2002/03 - 2011/12

Definitions - General definitions of the terms used in the non-continuation performance indicator tables.
Benchmarks - Technical information on how the benchmarks are calculated.
Technical - Technical details of the projected outcomes method.
Notes - Numbered notes referenced in the tables.

Enquiries

Press: Call 01242 211120 or email pressoffice@hesa.ac.uk.
General enquiries should be sent to piteam@hesa.ac.uk.
Enquiries regarding the UK Performance Indicators Steering Group (UKPISG) should be directed to the HEFCE Press Office on 0117 931 7363